Can you predict attacks?

The “kill chain” is a military concept related to the structure of an attack. In the InfoSec area, this concept is a way of modeling intrusions on a computer network.

Threats occur in up to seven stages. Not all threats need to use every stage, and the actions available at each stage can vary, giving an almost unlimited diversity to attack sets.

  • Reconnaisance
  • Weaponization
  • Delivery
  • Exploitation
  • Installation
  • Command and Control
  • Actions on Objective

Of course, some of the steps can happen outside the defended network, and in those cases, it may not be possible or practical to identify or counter. However, the most common variety of attack is unstructured in nature and originates from external sources. These use scripts or commonly available cracking tools that are widely available. Such attacks are identified by many techniques including:

Evidence of such activities is a pre-cursor to an attack. If defenders observe the activities from external sources, then it is important to review what the targets are. Often times, these can be uncovered by a penetration test. Repeated attempts against specific targets are a clue.

A defense-in-depth strategy gives defenders multiple clues about such activities. These include IDS systems that detect attack signatures, logs showing the activities and vulnerability scans that identify weaknesses.

To be sure, defending requires carefully orchestrated expertise. Feeling overwhelmed? Take a look at our SIEM Simplified offering where we can do the heavy lifting.

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